Curriculum Vitae
Kevin Ross Milner
Location: Los Angeles, California
E-mail: kevin <at> kevinmilner.net
Last updated 11 January, 2023
Education
| Year | Degree | Concentration | Institution | Advisor |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | Ph.D. | Geological Sciences (Geophysics) | University of Southern California | Prof. Thomas Jordan |
| 2015 | M.S. | Geological Sciences (Geophysics) | University of Southern California | Prof. Thomas Jordan |
| 2007 | B.S. | Computer Sciences | University of Southern California |
Professional Appointments
| Years | Institution | Title |
|---|---|---|
| 2024-present | U.S. Geological Survey, Geologic Hazards Science Center | Research Geophysicist |
| 2023-2024 | Southern California Earthquake Center, University of Southern California | Computational Geophysicist |
| 2018-2022 | Southern California Earthquake Center, University of Southern California | Computer Scientist |
| 2008-2018 | Southern California Earthquake Center, University of Southern California | Research Programmer II |
Publications
2023
Kevin R. Milner, Edward H. Field; A Comprehensive Fault‐System Inversion Approach: Methods and Application to NSHM23. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America 2023; doi: https://doi.org/10.1785/0120230122
Edward H. Field, Kevin R. Milner, Alexandra E. Hatem, Peter M. Powers, Fred F. Pollitz, Andrea L. Llenos, Yuehua Zeng, Kaj M. Johnson, Bruce E. Shaw, Devin McPhillips, Jessica Thompson Jobe, Allison M. Shumway, Andrew J. Michael, Zheng‐Kang Shen, Eileen L. Evans, Elizabeth H. Hearn, Charles S. Mueller, Arthur D. Frankel, Mark D. Petersen, Christopher DuRoss, Richard W. Briggs, Morgan T. Page, Justin L. Rubinstein, Julie A. Herrick; The USGS 2023 Conterminous U.S. Time‐Independent Earthquake Rupture Forecast. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America 2023; doi: https://doi.org/10.1785/0120230120
Petersen MD, Shumway AM, Powers PM, Field, EH, Moschetti, MP, Jaiswal, KS, Milner, KM, et al. The 2023 US 50-State National Seismic Hazard Model: Overview and implications. Earthquake Spectra. 2023;0(0). doi: https://doi.org/10.1177/87552930231215428
Xiaofeng Meng, Christine Goulet, Kevin Milner, Robert Graves, Scott Callaghan; Comparison of Nonergodic Ground‐Motion Components from CyberShake and NGA‐West2 Datasets in California. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America 2023; doi: https://doi.org/10.1785/0120220049
2022
Sarah E Minson, Elizabeth S Cochran, Jessie K Saunders, Sara K McBride, Stephen Wu, Annemarie S Baltay, Kevin R Milner, What to expect when you are expecting earthquake early warning, Geophysical Journal International, Volume 231, Issue 2, November 2022, Pages 1386–1403, https://doi.org/10.1093/gji/ggac246
Kevin R. Milner, Bruce E. Shaw, Edward H. Field; Enumerating Plausible Multifault Ruptures in Complex Fault Systems with Physical Constraints. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America 2022;; 112 (4): 1806–1824. doi: https://doi.org/10.1785/0120210322
2021
Edward H. Field, Kevin R. Milner, Nicolas Luco; The Seismic Hazard Implications of Declustering and Poisson Assumptions Inferred from a Fully Time‐Dependent Model. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America 2021;; 112 (1): 527–537. doi: https://doi.org/10.1785/0120210027
Edward H. Field, Kevin R. Milner, Morgan T. Page, William H. Savran, Nicholas van der Elst; Improvements to the Third Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast ETAS Model (UCERF3‐ETAS). The Seismic Record 2021;; 1 (2): 117–125. doi: https://doi.org/10.1785/0320210017
Edward H. Field, Kevin R. Milner, Morgan T. Page; Generalizing the Inversion‐Based PSHA Source Model for an Interconnected Fault System. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America 2020;; 111 (1): 371–390. doi: https://doi.org/10.1785/0120200219
Kevin R. Milner, Bruce E. Shaw, Christine A. Goulet, Keith B. Richards‐Dinger, Scott Callaghan, Thomas H. Jordan, James H. Dieterich, Edward H. Field; Toward Physics‐Based Nonergodic PSHA: A Prototype Fully Deterministic Seismic Hazard Model for Southern California. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America. doi: https://doi.org/10.1785/0120200216
2020
Sarah E. Minson, Annemarie S. Baltay, Elizabeth S. Cochran, Sara K. McBride, Kevin R. Milner; Shaking is Almost Always a Surprise: The Earthquakes That Produce Significant Ground Motion. Seismological Research Letters 2020; 92 (1): 460–468. doi: https://doi.org/10.1785/0220200165
Edward H. Field, Kevin R. Milner, Morgan T. Page; Generalizing the Inversion‐Based PSHA Source Model for an Interconnected Fault System. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America 2020; doi: https://doi.org/10.1785/0120200219
William H. Savran, Maximilian J. Werner, Warner Marzocchi, David A. Rhoades, David D. Jackson, Kevin Milner, Edward Field, Andrew Michael; Pseudoprospective Evaluation of UCERF3‐ETAS Forecasts during the 2019 Ridgecrest Sequence. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America 2020; 110 (4): 1799–1817. doi: https://doi.org/10.1785/0120200026
Field, E. H., Milner, K. R., & Porter, K. A. (2020). Assessing the value of removing earthquake-hazard-related epistemic uncertainties, exemplified using average annual loss in California. Earthquake Spectra, 36(4), 1912–1929. https://doi.org/10.1177/8755293020926185
Kevin R. Milner, Edward H. Field, William H. Savran, Morgan T. Page, Thomas H. Jordan; Operational Earthquake Forecasting during the 2019 Ridgecrest, California, Earthquake Sequence with the UCERF3‐ETAS Model. Seismological Research Letters 2020; 91 (3): 1567–1578. doi: https://doi.org/10.1785/0220190294
2019
Andrew J. Michael, Sara K. McBride, Jeanne L. Hardebeck, Michael Barall, Eric Martinez, Morgan T. Page, Nicholas van der Elst, Edward H. Field, Kevin R. Milner, Anne M. Wein; Statistical Seismology and Communication of the USGS Operational Aftershock Forecasts for the 30 November 2018 Mw 7.1 Anchorage, Alaska, Earthquake. Seismological Research Letters 2019; 91 (1): 153–173. doi: https://doi.org/10.1785/0220190196
Minson, S.E., Baltay, A.S., Cochran, E.S., Hanks, T.C., Page, M.T., McBride, S.K., Milner, K.R. and Meier, M.A., 2019. The limits of earthquake early warning accuracy and best alerting strategy. Scientific reports, 9(1), pp.1-13.
2018
Shaw, B. E., Milner, K. R., Field, E. H., Richards-Dinger, K., Gilchrist, J. J., Dieterich, J. H., & Jordan, T. H. (2018). A physics-based earthquake simulator replicates seismic hazard statistics across California. Science advances, 4(8), eaau0688. doi: https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.aau0688
Field, E. H., & Milner, K. R. (2018). Candidate products for operational earthquake forecasting illustrated using the HayWired planning scenario, including one very quick (and not‐so‐dirty) hazard‐map option. Seismological Research Letters, 89(4), 1420-1434.
Moschetti, M. P., Chang, S., Crouse, C. B., Frankel, A., Graves, R., Puangnak, H., Luco, N., Goulet, C. A., Rezaeian, S., Shumway, A., Powers, P. M., Petersen, M. D., Callaghan, S., Jordan, T. H., & Milner, K. R. (2018, June). The science, engineering applications, and policy implications of simulation‐based PSHA. In Proceedings of the 11th National Conference in Earthquake Engineering (11NCEE), June (pp. 25-19).
Crouse, C. B., Jordan, T. H., Milner, K. R., Goulet, C. A., Callaghan, S., & Graves, R. W. (2018, June). Site‐specific MCER response spectra for Los Angeles region based on 3‐D numerical simulations and the NGA West2 equations. In Oral Presentation at 11th National Conference in Earthquake Engineering. Paper (Vol. 518).
Jordan, T. H., Callaghan, S., Graves, R. W., Wang, F., Milner, K. R., Goulet, C. A., Maechling, P. J., Olsen, K. B., Cui, Y., Juve, G., Vahi, K., Yu, J., Deelman, E., and Gill, D. (2018, January). CyberShake models of seismic hazards in Southern and Central California. In Proceedings of the US National Conference on Earthquake Engineering.
2017
Field, E., Porter, K., & Milner, K. (2017). A Prototype Operational Earthquake Loss Model for California Based on UCERF3-ETAS–A First Look at Valuation. Earthquake spectra, 33(4), 1279-1299. doi: https://doi.org/10.1193/011817eqs017m
Field, E. H., Jordan, T. H., Page, M. T., Milner, K. R., Shaw, B. E., Dawson, T. E., … & Weldon, R. J. (2017). A synoptic view of the third Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast (UCERF3). Seismological Research Letters, 88(5), 1259-1267.
Porter, K., Field, E., & Milner, K. (2017). Trimming a hazard logic tree with a new model-order-reduction technique. Earthquake spectra, 33(3), 857-874. doi: https://doi.org/10.1193/092616EQS158M
Field, E. H., Milner, K. R., Hardebeck, J. L., Page, M. T., van der Elst, N., Jordan, T. H., … & Werner, M. J. (2017). A spatiotemporal clustering model for the third Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast (UCERF3‐ETAS): Toward an operational earthquake forecast. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 107(3), 1049-1081.
2014
Edward H. Field, Glenn P. Biasi, Peter Bird, Timothy E. Dawson, Karen R. Felzer, David D. Jackson, Kaj M. Johnson, Thomas H. Jordan, Christopher Madden, Andrew J. Michael, Kevin R. Milner, Morgan T. Page, Tom Parsons, Peter M. Powers, Bruce E. Shaw, Wayne R. Thatcher, Ray J. Weldon, Yuehua Zeng; Long‐Term Time‐Dependent Probabilities for the Third Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast (UCERF3). Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America ; 105 (2A): 511–543. doi: https://doi.org/10.1785/0120140093
Page, M. T., Field, E. H., Milner, K. R., & Powers, P. M. (2014). The UCERF3 grand inversion: Solving for the long‐term rate of ruptures in a fault system. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 104(3), 1181-1204. doi: https://doi.org/10.1785/0120130180
Edward H. Field, Ramon J. Arrowsmith, Glenn P. Biasi, Peter Bird, Timothy E. Dawson, Karen R. Felzer, David D. Jackson, Kaj M. Johnson, Thomas H. Jordan, Christopher Madden, Andrew J. Michael, Kevin R. Milner, Morgan T. Page, Tom Parsons, Peter M. Powers, Bruce E. Shaw, Wayne R. Thatcher, Ray J. Weldon, Yuehua Zeng; Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast, Version 3 (UCERF3)—The Time‐Independent Model. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America ; 104 (3): 1122–1180. doi: https://doi.org/10.1785/0120130164
Milner, K. R., Page, M. T., Field, E. H., Parsons, T., Biasi, G. P., & Shaw, B. E. (2013). Appendix T—Defining the inversion rupture set using plausibility filters. US Geol. Surv. Open‐File Rept. 2013‐1165.
Parsons, T., Segou, M., Sevilgen, V., Milner, K., Field, E., Toda, S., & Stein, R. S. (2014). Stress‐based aftershock forecasts made within 24 h postmain shock: Expected north San Francisco Bay area seismicity changes after the 2014 M= 6.0 West Napa earthquake. Geophysical Research Letters, 41(24), 8792-8799.
2012
Parsons, T., Field, E. H., Page, M. T., & Milner, K. (2012). Possible earthquake rupture connections on mapped California faults ranked by calculated Coulomb linking stresses. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 102(6), 2667-2676.
Porter, K. A., Field, E. H., & Milner, K. (2012). Trimming the UCERF2 hazard logic tree. Seismological Research Letters, 83(5), 815-828.
2011
Callaghan, S., Maechling, P., Small, P., Milner, K., Juve, G., Jordan, T.H., Deelman, E., Mehta, G., Vahi, K., Gunter, D. and Beattie, K., 2011. Metrics for heterogeneous scientific workflows: A case study of an earthquake science application. The International Journal of High Performance Computing Applications, 25(3), pp.274-285.
Graves, R., Jordan, T.H., Callaghan, S., Deelman, E., Field, E., Juve, G., Kesselman, C., Maechling, P., Mehta, G., Milner, K. and Okaya, D., 2011. CyberShake: A physics-based seismic hazard model for southern California. Pure and Applied Geophysics, 168(3-4), pp.367-381.
2010
Callaghan, S., Deelman, E., Gunter, D., Juve, G., Maechling, P., Brooks, C., Vahi, K., Milner, K., Graves, R., Field, E. and Okaya, D., 2010. Scaling up workflow-based applications. Journal of Computer and System Sciences, 76(6), pp.428-446.
2009
Milner, K., Becker, T. W., Boschi, L., Sain, J., Schorlemmer, D., & Waterhouse, H. (2009). New software framework to share research tools. Eos, Transactions American Geophysical Union, 90(12), 104-104.
2008
Callaghan, S., Maechling, P., Deelman, E., Vahi, K., Mehta, G., Juve, G., Milner, K., Graves, R., Field, E., Okaya, D. and Gunter, D., 2008, December. Reducing time-to-solution using distributed high-throughput mega-workflows-experiences from SCEC CyberShake. In 2008 IEEE Fourth International Conference on eScience (pp. 151-158). IEEE.
Field, E. H., & Milner, K. R. (2008). Forecasting California’s earthquakes: What can we expect in the next 30 years? (No. 2008-3027). US Geological Survey.